Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.003318 0.003643 0.003991 0.004390 0.004837 0.005323 0.005892
2026-01-18 0.002745 0.003197 0.003713 0.004350 0.005119 0.006022 0.007171
2026-01-25 0.002398 0.002903 0.003508 0.004292 0.005288 0.006524 0.008192
2026-02-01 0.002179 0.002722 0.003397 0.004306 0.005512 0.007080 0.009304
2026-02-08 0.001981 0.002539 0.003254 0.004251 0.005623 0.007478 0.010226
2026-02-15 0.001806 0.002367 0.003105 0.004162 0.005667 0.007773 0.011019
2026-02-22 0.001697 0.002270 0.003043 0.004183 0.005855 0.008275 0.012152
2026-03-01 0.001631 0.002226 0.003048 0.004292 0.006172 0.008987 0.013671
2026-03-08 0.001520 0.002109 0.002938 0.004222 0.006212 0.009277 0.014550
2026-03-15 0.001418 0.001998 0.002829 0.004141 0.006225 0.009520 0.015367
2026-03-22 0.001342 0.001918 0.002759 0.004114 0.006316 0.009891 0.016433
2026-03-29 0.001291 0.001872 0.002735 0.004155 0.006517 0.010456 0.017899
2026-04-05 0.001216 0.001788 0.002652 0.004101 0.006567 0.010789 0.019023
2026-04-12 0.001150 0.001714 0.002582 0.004064 0.006646 0.011183 0.020321
2026-04-19 0.001087 0.001641 0.002505 0.004010 0.006687 0.011510 0.021525
2026-04-26 0.001043 0.001595 0.002470 0.004023 0.006846 0.012066 0.023260
2026-05-03 0.000991 0.001532 0.002402 0.003972 0.006884 0.012394 0.024559
2026-05-10 0.000936 0.001463 0.002321 0.003890 0.006856 0.012590 0.025596
2026-05-17 0.000904 0.001429 0.002296 0.003909 0.007019 0.013181 0.027591
2026-05-24 0.000889 0.001421 0.002316 0.004010 0.007349 0.014143 0.030584
2026-05-31 0.000846 0.001366 0.002249 0.003945 0.007344 0.014401 0.031935
2026-06-07 0.000806 0.001312 0.002180 0.003871 0.007313 0.014600 0.033165
2026-06-14 0.000775 0.001273 0.002139 0.003846 0.007381 0.015022 0.035024